Have I talked myself into the Phillies? You will need to register before adding a comment. box score First-pitch weather forecast: Sunny, 74 degrees. A link has been posted to your Facebook feed. This is a test to see whether we can improve the experience for you. They gave up just an obscene amount of hard contact. Then you gaze upon the landscape that is the rest of your division. Historically, the movement on his pitches alone has been reason for excitement. box score First-pitch weather forecast: Partly cloudy, 74 degrees. The degree to which he makes hard contact elevates him in every facet of the game. Probable starting pitchers: Tigers LHP Daniel Norris (3-1, 3.25 ERA in 2020) vs. Phillies … Bryce Harper’s first year in Philadelphia ended with his former team winning the World Series, and the Phillies suffered another September collapse in his second season. Alec Bohm had a really nice rookie season at third (.381 wOBA, 139 wRC+) and looks to be a budding star in this lineup. Beyond Harper, though, the offense is...good! The Phillies did score 306 runs, fourth in the NL, but were second-worst in runs allowed (311) in the league, and they don’t appear to have done much to address this. Have fun bookmarking this beauty. Even the Marlins are one of the better “bad” teams in baseball. Again, the Phillies are not a bad baseball team. There’s a former MVP in left field. Check it out on Twitter. That’s an extremely formidable top three. Maybe the volume approach works and the Phils are able to capture some lightning with at least a few of these arms. Kintzler has had a nice couple of years with the Cubs and Marlins thanks, largely, to obscene groundball numbers. Martinez scored Cullen Large with an RBI double, Jonathan Davis … Their shortcomings have become more minor, but ever-shrinking as they may be, they may not be able to transform those flaws into strengths in enough time to compete with the other heavy hitters that comprise their division. It's OK to disagree with someone's ideas, but personal attacks, insults, threats, hate speech, advocating violence and other violations can result in a ban. Even if you were to take out the truly abominable numbers from this list, they’re still in the bottom half of the league...but you can’t ignore the worst. Probable starting pitchers: Tigers LHP Matthew Boyd (0-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Phillies RHP Spencer Howard (0-0, 0.00 ERA). RHP Lance Lynn - A+ (68 Adj. That’s why his xwOBA is in the 99th. The Dodgers are the best team in the world, Morning Mound Visit: Marlins Park gets horrible new name. His swing is as effective as it is aesthetically pleasing. 2. You’re supposed to reach base when you strike the ball that hard. There’s definitely more room for optimism on the starting pitching front. To be fair, the narrative around Harper as “overrated” has always existed and never really subsided, for one reason or another. He wasn’t hit overly hard (31.6 percent), though, and while his walk rate wasn’t awful, at 3.70/9, he did have a .329 BABIP working against him. Without getting too hot take-y, it does seem as if a lot of the world has somewhat forgotten how excellent a player the Phillies have in right field. © 2021 www.freep.com. It gets a little questionable beyond that, as there is some uncertainty in the form of Spencer Howard (more on him later), Vince Velasquez, Matt Moore, and (probably) Chase Anderson. Please be polite. You’ve got an up-and-coming star at third base and a thumper of a Sac State product on the other side of the diamond at first. In any case, it’s unlikely that the group could be much worse than they were in 2020. Let friends in your social network know what you are reading about. His groundball rate was also up a few percentage points, at a hair over 47 percent. Atlanta still looks terrific, the Mets (on paper) are significantly improved, and the Nationals are just two years removed from a championship, with a few notable improvements scattered throughout their roster. Ultimately, the fastball-slider combination should serve him well as he continues his development and could end up giving the Phillies a dynamite top four in their rotation. That’s not a completely terrible figure, but when you compound the tendency to elevate more so against the bullpen with that hard contact rate, you’re going to get into serious trouble. Grapefruit League: Detroit Tigers (6-2) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (3-5); 1:05 p.m.; BayCare Ballpark, Clearwater, Florida. While thus far unable to replicate his 2017 peak, Archie Bradley is coming off of a really strong year with Arizona and Cincinnati that included a Hard% of 33.3. There aren’t a lot of underlying numbers that do much to salvage how bad this group was. DUNEDIN, Fla. - Vladimir Guerrero Jr., hit his second home run of spring training — a solo shot leading off a four-run eighth that tied the score … Atlanta Braves. All rights reserved. Suppose you’re operating a baseball team. I like them far more than FanGraphs (16.1 percent playoff odds) and Baseball Prospectus (PECOTA has them at 11 percent to win the division). The Philadelphia Phillies head into 2021 with the same strong lineup and a mildly improved pitching staff. First-pitch weather forecast: Sunny, 74 degrees. Phillies starter Matt Moore allowed … A link has been sent to your friend's email address. Didi Gregorius had a nice first season in Philly, while Jean Segura and Andrew McCutchen are nice supplementary pieces, even at this point in their career. You can follow him on Twitter @RandallPnkFloyd. Can't see the chatter? Nonetheless, it’s a decent enough group with a top three that probably compensates for the lack of clarity on the backend. IF THREE'S A CROWD...: Victor Reyes, unbothered by new signings, has something to prove in 2021, OWNER TALK: Why Tigers owner Chris Ilitch says team has 'win-now mentality'. The track record of arms like Diaz, Famillia and Betances will make it hard for the Phillies to score runs against their I-95 rivals. The Phillies retired two of the next three batters before the Jays piled on six more runs. This, you realize, you can work with. All the 2018 Phillies batting and pitching stats, standings, depth charts, roster notes, schedule/results, news and analysis. The New York Yankees suffered a blowout loss on Thursday against the Philadelphia Phillies, 15-0 being the final score, and their win-loss record in spring training now falls to 3 … To the tune of that 7.06 ERA. More than anything, just to remind folks, look at some of these percentile rankings: One thing not really illustrated here is Harper’s patience. Alec Bohm had an RBI double and Matt Joyce had a pair of RBI singles. You do not need a Facebook profile to participate. To find out more about Facebook commenting please read the Conversation Guidelines and FAQs. First, a word about Bryce Harper. He’s in the 92nd percentile. Héctor Neris has built his career on mastering one pitch, but his addition of another offering could provide the Philadelphia Phillies relief pitcher with a needed weapon. That’s a best case scenario, of course. It’s not new. Now it’s more just a blasé declaration of him being overrated and overpaid with little evidence provided to confirm. When you’re working with Nola and Wheeler out of the gate, then you’ve got reason for it. Grapefruit League: Detroit Tigers (9-11) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (10-11): 1:05 p.m.; Joker Marchant Stadium; Fox Sports Detroit; WXYT-FM (97.1). The following is where the Phillies ranked in terms of their staff: ERA: 4.08 (10th) xFIP: 3.64 (2nd)K/9: 9.52 (8th)BB/9: 2.84 (10th)Contact%: 77.2 (11th)Whiff%: 10.9 (13th)Hard%: 27.2 (2nd). The Philadelphia Phillies are an American professional baseball team based in Philadelphia.They compete in Major League Baseball (MLB) as a member of the National League (NL) East division.Since 2004, the team's home stadium has been Citizens Bank Park, located in South Philadelphia.The Phillies are the oldest continuous same-name, same-city franchise in American professional sports. With the score tied at 1 in the seventh, Stanton delivered a two-run single off Hector Rondon, the Phillies … Which they did. This team you operate features a borderline generational talent in right field. Victor Reyes, unbothered by new signings, has something to prove in 2021, Why Tigers owner Chris Ilitch says team has 'win-now mentality', Boyd bests Bieber, Miggy stars in Tigers' 3-2 win on Opening Day, Juwan Howard to Michigan's seniors: 'The invitation is open' on extra year, Michigan blows huge opportunity, ending a fantastic season, Tigers cut Stewart to make room for pitcher; Turnbull cleared from COVID-19, Michigan's season ends with a flurry of missed shots in Elite Eight, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Phillies starter Chase Anderson kept his scoreless spring training alive with three shutout innings and Rhys Hopkins homered in the sixth inning. The 1980 Philadelphia Phillies season was the team's 98th season in Major League Baseball (MLB) and culminated with the Phillies winning the World Series at home by defeating the Kansas City Royals in game 6 on Oct. 21, 1980.. There’s even more room for it if Zach Eflin can take another step forward, having posted the best “full” season of his career to date, with a K/9 over 10, a career-best 2.29 BB/9, and a xFIP of 3.23. Conversely, José Alvarado is coming off of a brutal season in which he pitched just nine innings. Early in his career, it was that he played too hard. So there was high traffic and a lack of groundball contact (38.0 percent). It’s when that contact occurred that they got into trouble. Follow him on Twitter @HiKirkHere. Harper has had a hard hit rate of at least 40 percent in each of the last three seasons. Simply put: Harper’s approach at the plate is extraordinary and it’s led to some obscenely impressive underlying stats. Welcome to our new and improved comments, which are for subscribers only. Typed comments will be lost if you are not logged in. However, they have massive competition in the division. Your rotation has a couple of frontline starters. And as the figures above indicate, when he swings, and makes contact, it hurts the baseball. And Rondón, despite a mediocre 2019 in Houston and a brutal 2020 in Arizona, has high leverage experience in the past with the Cubs. The Phillies’ top prospect didn’t come close to realizing his potential in his 24.1 innings of work in 2020. Probable starting pitchers: Tigers RHP Julio Teheran (1-1, 2.45 ERA this spring) vs. Phillies RHP Aaron Nola (1-2, 6.14 ERA). He posted high strikeout numbers and a declining walk rate during his time in the minors, which weren’t quite realized in his short 2020. Detroit Free Press. And while his walk numbers are concerning, he does induce some pretty heavy strikeout numbers, doesn’t give up a lot of hard contact, and typically gets the ball on the ground at a clip around 50 percent. box score First-pitch weather forecast: Sunny, 86 degrees. He sees typically just over four pitches per plate appearance. Phillies, your bullpen...woof. This is where the relievers fell in those same categories: ERA: 7.06 (30th) xFIP: 4.61 (18th)K/9: 9.82 (12th)BB/9: 4.21 (17th)Contact%: 74.2 (15th)Whiff%: 12.1 (13th)Hard%: 36.6 (27th). The staff makes predictions. The Phillies’ relief corps didn’t miss a ton of bats, but they were still middle-of-the-pack in surrendering contact overall. Contact Kirkland Crawford: kcrawford@freepress.com. This is a 2021 photo of Caleb Cotham of the Philadelphia Phillies baseball team. They’re actually quite good! Additionally, the team has Brandon Kintzler, Tony Watson, and Héctor Rondón in camp as non-roster guys. If you see comments in violation of our community guidelines, please report them. And while the starters had the second-best groundball rate against in the league (49.1 percent), the relievers were down at 13th (42.8 percent). Detroit Tigers manager AJ Hinch talks Tuesday, March 9, 2021, about his team after a day off from spring training. Does it even matter in their division? Unfortunately, this is the story of the 2021 Philadelphia Phillies. The question of his role is set to be sorted this spring, as to whether or not he’ll be in the rotation, the bullpen, or in Lehigh Valley. Rhys Hoskins brings plenty of offense to compensate for his miserable defense. Green went on to allow another run score in the next inning to give the Phillies an early 2-0 lead. So it may not be a matter of the Phillies’ flaws that ultimately keep them on the outside of the postseason picture. It’s a good group with some depth to it. You need roster perhaps the best catcher in the game. Probable starting pitchers: Tigers LHP Matthew Boyd (0-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Phillies RHP Spencer Howard (0-0, 0.00 ERA). And there’s no way Héctor Neris will throw as poorly as he did last season, especially if he can get his walks back down to his career averages to his career norm after a 5.40 BB/9 last season. Randy Holt is a contributing writer for Beyond the Box Score. BRADENTON, Fla. – Odúbel Herrera hit his second home run for Philadelphia as the Phillies edged the Pittsburgh Pirates 6-5 Sunday. Ronald Torreyes will make the Phillies' opening day roster, manager Joe Girardi revealed after Sunday's spring training game, the second-to-last on the Grapefruit League schedule. You’re supposed to get extra bases (looking at that xISO) when the ball is in the air 80 percent of the time. He cut his whiff percentage back down to his career averages last season (12.2 percent). Understandable, given the context of...*gestures broadly at everything*. Watson, unspectacular as he may be, doesn’t walk guys. And as much as we’d like to spend time fleshing out each of their respective offensive upsides, there’s a far more sinister force at play here: the pitching. What does a good season from Bo Bichette look like? Contact Score, 9.5% Whiff Rate) - Lynn posted the highest sinker whiff rate among qualifiers, and the 5th best pitch-specific Adjusted Contact Score. Yes. J.T. Realmuto is perhaps the best all-around catcher in baseball. Perhaps the good news is that they did assemble some additions to ‘pen. His 72.6 percent contact rate was the highest it’s been since 2017. Where: BayCare Ballpark, Clearwater, Florida. Concord-Carlisle High School senior Dallas Jackson explained the important role SCORE Boston plays in her life to NESN's Dale Arnold. It’s when that contact occurred that they got into trouble. The New York Yankees got their sixth victory of the spring training on Thursday, as they defeated the Philadelphia Phillies 6-1, behind excellent pitching performances from ace … The biggest wild card of the arms looks to be Spencer Howard. The Phillies are locked in NL East purgatory, Morning Mound Visit: Biden calls Rangers full capacity plan ‘a mistake’, Biden also supports moving the All-Star Game; Dodgers screw up; Angels extend David Fletcher, BtBS predicts the 2021 World Series champion. But also no. 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